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Posts Tagged ‘interest rates’

Google+ Hangout: Pension Funding Index, October 2014

October 10th, 2014 No comments

The funded status of the 100 largest corporate defined benefit pension plans improved by $26 billion during September as measured by the Milliman 100 Pension Funding Index (PFI).

The deficit dropped from $279 billion to $253 billion in September, primarily due to an increase in the benchmark corporate bond interest rates used to value pension liabilities. The funded status would have improved further were it not for September’s investment losses. As of September 30, the funded ratio grew from 84.1% to 85.2%.

Index co-author Zorast Wadia discusses the results on Milliman’s monthly PFI Google+ Hangout with Jeremy Engdahl-Johnson.

Corporate pension funded status improves by $26 billion in September

October 7th, 2014 No comments

Milliman today released the results of its latest Pension Funding Index (PFI), which consists of 100 of the nation’s largest defined benefit pension plans. In September, these plans experienced a $45 billion decrease in pension liabilities and a $19 billion decrease in asset value, resulting in a $26 billion decrease in the pension funded status deficit.

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We just had our best month of the year, but it wasn’t enough to make the third quarter a positive one for these pensions. After five straight quarters of improving funded status, we’ve had three straight losing quarters this year.

Looking forward, if the Milliman 100 pension plans were to achieve the expected 7.4% median asset return for their pension portfolios, and if the current discount rate of 4.10% were maintained, funded status would improve, with the funded status deficit shrinking to $241 billion (85.9% funded ratio) by the end of 2014 and to $206 billion (88.0% funded ratio) by the end of 2015.

Google+ Hangout: Pension Funding Index, September 2014

September 16th, 2014 No comments

The funded status of the 100 largest corporate defined benefit pension plans deteriorated by $22 billion during August as measured by the Milliman 100 Pension Funding Index (PFI). The deficit increased from $259 billion to $281 billion at the end of July, which was due to a drop in the benchmark corporate bond interest rates used to value pension liabilities. August’s robust investment gain was not enough to improve the Milliman 100 PFI’s funded status. As of August 31, the funded ratio dropped down from 84.8% to 84.0%.

PFI co-author Zorast Wadia discusses the index’s latest results on this Milliman Google+ Hangout.

Corporate pension funded status drops by $22 billion in August

September 8th, 2014 No comments

Milliman today released the results of its latest Pension Funding Index (PFI), which consists of 100 of the nation’s largest defined benefit pension plans. In August, these plans experienced a $46 billion increase in pension liabilities and a $24 billion increase in asset value, resulting in a $22 billion increase in the pension funded status deficit.

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It was a strong month of asset improvement, but there’s no counteracting record-low interest rates. Year to date, rates have swollen pension liabilities by $165 billion.

Looking forward, if the Milliman 100 pension plans were to achieve the expected 7.4% median asset return for their pension portfolios, and if the current discount rate of 3.89% were maintained, funded status would improve, with the funded status deficit shrinking to $265 billion (84.9% funded ratio) by the end of 2014 and to $228 billion (87.1% funded ratio) by the end of 2015.

Google+ Hangout: Pension Funding Index (August 2014) and the implications of HATFA

August 20th, 2014 No comments

The funded status of the 100 largest corporate defined benefit pension plans decreased by $5 billion during July as measured by the Milliman 100 Pension Funding Index (PFI). The deficit rose from $252 billion to $257 billion at the end of July, which was primarily due to declines in equity and fixed income returns during July. As of July 31, the funded ratio decreased from 85.3% to 85.0% since the end of June.

In this month’s PFI Hangout, Zorast Wadia discusses the study’s latest results and the pension smoothing provisions related to the Highway and Transportation Funding Act of 2014 (HATFA).

Corporate pension funded status drops by $5 billion in July

August 14th, 2014 No comments

Milliman today released the results of its latest Pension Funding Index (PFI), which consists of 100 of the nation’s largest defined benefit pension plans. In July, these plans experienced a $3 billion decrease in pension liabilities and an $8 billion decrease in asset value, resulting in a $5 billion increase in the pension funded status deficit.

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For months it’s been interest rates driving up the deficit, but in July the rates cooperated and it was instead poor financial market performance negatively impacting funded status. We’ve seen the deficit increase by more than $70 billion so far in 2014.

This month’s study includes perspective on how the Highway and Transportation Funding Act of 2014 (HATFA) may affect pension contributions next year.

Looking forward, if the Milliman 100 pension plans were to achieve the expected 7.4% median asset return for their pension portfolios, and if the current discount rate of 4.10% were maintained, funded status would improve, with the funded status deficit shrinking to $237 billion (86.1% funded ratio) by the end of 2014 and to $202 billion (88.2% funded ratio) by the end of 2015.

Google+ Hangout: Pension Funding Index, July 2014

July 15th, 2014 No comments

The funded status of the 100 largest corporate defined benefit pension plans increased by $14 billion during June as measured by the Milliman 100 Pension Funding Index (PFI). The deficit improved from $266 billion to $252 billion at the end of June, which is primarily due to investment gains. As of June 30, the funded ratio rose from 84.5% to 85.3%. However, the funded ratio is still down for the year from 88.3% as of December 31, 2013. June was the first month in 2014 when discount rates increased, but only by 0.02%. Fortunately, the strong year-to-date asset performance has mitigated deeper funded status erosion.

Index co-author Zorast Wadia discusses the results on Milliman’s monthly PFI Google+ Hangout with Jeremy Engdahl-Johnson.

Corporate pension funded status improves by $14 billion in June

July 10th, 2014 No comments

Milliman today released the results of its latest Pension Funding Index (PFI), which consists of 100 of the nation’s largest defined benefit pension plans. In June, these plans experienced a $3 billion decrease in pension liabilities and an $11 billion increase in asset value, resulting in a $14 billion decrease in the pension funded status deficit.

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If you want to understand why pension funded status is down this year, consider the fact that June was the first month in 2014 with rising interest rates—and it’s not like we saw a massive swing. Interest rates continue to be the story with these pensions.

Looking forward, if the Milliman 100 pension plans were to achieve the expected 7.4% median asset return for their pension portfolios, and if the current discount rate of 4.08% were maintained, funded status would improve, with the funded status deficit shrinking to $228 billion (86.7% funded ratio) by the end of 2014 and to $173 billion (89.9% funded ratio) by the end of 2015.

Google+ Hangout: Pension Funding Index, June 2014

June 18th, 2014 No comments

The funded status deficit of the 100 largest corporate defined benefit pension plans increased by $10 billion during May as measured by the Milliman 100 Pension Funding Index (PFI). The $268 billion deficit at the end of May is primarily due to a drop in the benchmark corporate bond interest rates used to value pension liabilities. Investment gains helped to partially offset the full extent of liability increases in May. During May, the funded ratio fell from 84.7% down to 84.3%.

PFI co-author Zorast Wadia discusses the index’s latest results on this Milliman Google+ Hangout.

Pension funded status deficit increases by $10 billion in May, reaches $268 billion

June 6th, 2014 No comments

Milliman today released the results of its latest Pension Funding Index (PFI), which consists of 100 of the nation’s largest defined benefit pension plans. In May, these plans experienced a $29 billion increase in pension liabilities and a $19 billion increase in asset value, resulting in a $10 billion increase in the pension funded status deficit.

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In every month of 2014 so far we have seen a decline in interest rates. These pensions have experienced a $43 billion increase in assets, but the market gains have been dwarfed by a $125 billion increase in liabilities.

Looking forward, if the Milliman 100 pension plans were to achieve the expected 7.4% median asset return for their pension portfolios, and if the current discount rate of 4.06% were maintained, funded status would improve, with the funded status deficit shrinking to $241 billion (86.0% funded ratio) by the end of 2014 and to $187 billion (89.2% funded ratio) by the end of 2015.