What to look ahead for in pension risk management

The Variable Annuity Pension Plan (VAPP) is now the Milliman Sustainable Income PlanTM (SIP).

Defined benefit plan sponsors are concerned about contribution and funded status volatility. Some recent pension risk management strategies have focused on liability-driven investing (LDI) and lump-sum distributions. In this article, Milliman consultants Tim Connor, Scott Preppernau, and Zorast Wadia discuss in general terms methods that plan sponsors may implement to de-risk their pensions moving forward.

Here is an excerpt:

We suspect that 2014 will see a continued trend of sponsors looking to de-risk their plans through the various methods mentioned above. In addition, we believe sponsors will investigate the benefits of a hybrid plan design such as the variable annuity plan for the reasons mentioned above.

Another trend likely to continue is the implementation of lump-sum windows or permanently increased lump-sum thresholds. These strategies have found favor with many plan sponsors, particularly in response to recent increases in Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC) premiums. Because PBGC premiums include a per-participant charge, and because that charge has increased substantially in recent years, sponsors will no doubt continue to take a hard look at the idea of offering lump sums if it translates into fewer participants for whom they must pay those premiums. In addition, the rates utilized to pay out lump sums have been fully phased in for a few years now, from the previous basis of 30-year Treasury rates. That old basis resulted in a period of time where lump sums were seen as costly to sponsors. That is no longer the case. On a U.S. GAAP accounting basis, plans are valuing liability at rates that are close to the rates that are now utilized to pay lump sums. In other words, there is no longer much of an accounting gain or loss to a plan that pays out a lump sum. Yet, it does accomplish de-risking by transferring management of the pension to the participant.

On the investment side, we also expect sponsors to explore some nontraditional de-risking solutions. Not all sponsors share the belief that leaving the space of equity investments makes sense in the long term. Some feel they can’t afford not to be seeking returns in the market. For them, a tail risk hedging investment strategy can be an attractive de-risking solution. A typical strategy allows for upside through equity investments, while at the same time mitigating downside losses that occur in volatile, declining markets. The concept of hedging tail risk is quite familiar to the insurance industry, which utilizes such strategies to manage its own risk in guaranteeing certain products, such as variable annuities. It makes natural sense for defined benefit plan sponsors to incorporate the approach to de-risk their own pension promises.

Read Grant Camp and Kelly Coffing’s article Making the case for variable annuity pension plans (VAPPs) to learn more about the variable annuity pension plan design. Also, for more Milliman perspective on lump-sum distributions, click here.

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